Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 16.010652 18.148194 20.412958 22.985829 25.822067 28.847579 32.313396
2025-01-05 12.712028 15.609459 18.879351 22.821845 27.424131 32.604020 38.851054
2025-01-12 9.866432 13.077570 16.923491 21.821387 27.841064 34.943467 43.897730
2025-01-19 7.728417 11.029778 15.214550 20.823290 28.048657 36.941667 48.600244
2025-01-26 6.802476 10.355383 15.084628 21.702575 30.567115 41.860141 57.137253
2025-02-02 6.396387 10.301075 15.722430 23.591651 34.481149 48.753183 68.559837
2025-02-09 5.797683 9.874176 15.773716 24.645910 37.311113 54.360752 78.593174
2025-02-16 5.051408 9.111685 15.240461 24.789844 38.846371 58.269268 86.517547
2025-02-23 4.289749 8.207577 14.379546 24.342904 39.459151 60.884434 92.745113
2025-03-02 3.689600 7.474238 13.685604 24.053424 40.232887 63.709022 99.335088
2025-03-09 3.256621 6.960182 13.273890 24.139861 41.534241 67.308289 107.132480
2025-03-16 2.834149 6.399132 12.715332 23.923376 42.323193 70.153290 113.914185
2025-03-23 2.657617 6.289113 12.936563 25.038231 45.323805 76.528217 126.300606
2025-03-30 2.370780 5.918712 12.656670 25.278047 46.927341 80.850222 135.805444
2025-04-06 1.983500 5.275618 11.802798 24.438488 46.689023 82.289752 140.977417
2025-04-13 1.643244 4.668949 10.939658 23.490817 46.181637 83.246998 145.407318
2025-04-20 1.556048 4.622227 11.167069 24.557635 49.184258 89.953955 159.084665
2025-04-27 1.578078 4.838781 11.945733 26.712175 54.195554 100.119244 178.584786
2025-05-04 1.507620 4.816407 12.224165 27.920728 57.580432 107.724029 194.222875
2025-05-11 1.357435 4.565225 11.989661 28.105329 59.123204 112.311382 205.125854
2025-05-18 1.175118 4.192810 11.446571 27.624444 59.408144 114.771269 212.615082
2025-05-25 1.027589 3.884723 11.008238 27.312179 59.971875 117.705299 220.955162
2025-06-01 0.923565 3.679929 10.781671 27.413942 61.306512 121.997176 231.662748